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Otto · Brain, Behavior & Psychology

The Art of Thinking Clearly

by Rolf Dobelli

Three key ideas

  1. Before you trust a success story, ask which failed or missing cases you cannot see.
  2. Ask what would count against your view, then look for it on purpose.
  3. A sunk cost cannot be recovered. Judge the next step by its remaining benefits and costs.

The five 2-minute lessons

  1. 1.Who is missing from the story?
  2. 2.Give your belief a chance to lose
  3. 3.What's spent can't vote
  4. 4.One loud story isn't the pattern
  5. 5.Build checks, not a shield

From the comic

One winning newsletter photo has convinced my arms. They have already started eight ornate borders.

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